We are seeing price-RSI positive divergence on the daily SPX chart. For this divergence to convert to a market rally, the divergence must hold. Which means RSI should not post a lower low than the previous low marked on 05/18. If we see a bottom on RSI here, which is likely, the market has bottomed for the short term. Previous price low was 1291, so clearing 1291 higher would mean a good rally.
There are 2 approaches:
1, Buy here or lower - with a stop at 1268. With this approach, you could lose if the lower low comes at 1200 (example).
2, Buy on a confirmation of the next rally with $SPX clearing 1292.
Either way, stops and risk management is important.
Giving confidence to this approach is the support of the trendline from the 2011 top.
Friday, June 1, 2012
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Walmart post-earnings chart
I posted this 4 weeks back on "mexican bribes" plunge for WMT: My WMT buy Where does WMT stand now? Walmart is ~ 5% higher.
Walmart Inc. smashed earnings estimates today and pushes higher today by 4.71% as of now. Sure, the stock went lower and we had almost a month of consolidation before the push here. We may have another round of higher lows before we go higher. But, the way these big caps are breaking out (MSFT? AAPL?), I don't see any bear market at this levels like many on the blogosphere are prognosticating. We had a good correction for the last 5 weeks or so on the general market. My levels to watch for support are 1305, 1270/ 1280.
I am buying the market here with my stop at 1250. This is for Intermediate term - next 4 - 6 months. In short, the bull market is still alive!
Walmart Inc. smashed earnings estimates today and pushes higher today by 4.71% as of now. Sure, the stock went lower and we had almost a month of consolidation before the push here. We may have another round of higher lows before we go higher. But, the way these big caps are breaking out (MSFT? AAPL?), I don't see any bear market at this levels like many on the blogosphere are prognosticating. We had a good correction for the last 5 weeks or so on the general market. My levels to watch for support are 1305, 1270/ 1280.
I am buying the market here with my stop at 1250. This is for Intermediate term - next 4 - 6 months. In short, the bull market is still alive!
Thursday, May 10, 2012
Market update
My stance on the markets:
US markets (DJI/ SPX/ COMPX) - Bullish with a bit of caution
Commodities (/CL, /GC, /SI) - Bearish until turn up again
Basis of the above stance is short term using daily charts.
US markets (DJI/ SPX/ COMPX) - Bullish with a bit of caution
Commodities (/CL, /GC, /SI) - Bearish until turn up again
Basis of the above stance is short term using daily charts.
Monday, April 23, 2012
Buying Wal-mart stores Inc. right here
Bid 59.57 ask 59.61
Buying WMT right here, ahead of today's open. Bribery and news is noise to me when I look at this long term chart. Stop at 57$ though.
Buying WMT right here, ahead of today's open. Bribery and news is noise to me when I look at this long term chart. Stop at 57$ though.
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