Thursday, December 29, 2011

What is holding this market down?

For the last several weeks, SPX has been hitting a thick wall of resistance and dropping down. Some think it is the 200 DMA, some think it is 61.8 number. SPX traded above, below, at the 200 DMA several times this week. There is significant resistance that is holding the market down though. I don't think this low volume push will cause the market to go higher. "Market higher" is the keyword and I expect the market to trade higher 3 months, 6 months from now. The 50 week MA is at 1267 and that is what is pushing the market down. For /ES, the resistance stands at 1264. 

I expect we will go lower, gain some momentum and then push higher in the new year. 

2 comments:

  1. You sound bullish. What is your target for the end of 2012?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Arod, I am not 100% bullish. May be 65% bull, 35% bear.

    I am sorry to tell you that I don't have a target. Nobody can predict targets or what happens in future. We can play the prediction games, just for fun. But, if anyone tells you that they are seriously predicting targets, I would suggest you to evaluate their mental health. Not one target, I repeat not one, of the so called Abby Joseph Cohens of the investment world come true or even close. I think we may be able to predict the targets for the very short term but long term, no!

    ReplyDelete

Subscribe here and follow by Email